Episode
36

John Watling – Assessing the Commercial Office Sector in 2024

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About this Episode

In this episode, we're joined by John Watling, Director at the International Property Tax Institute. We talk about the state of the office industry, related macroeconomic concerns, and relevant challenges for property assessors.

We cover:Introduction to Assessment Matters podcast 00:00John’s bio and big ideas 00:35John's experience in property valuation and property tax policyThe state of the office property sector and related challenges faced by assessment agenciesThe state of the office industry 4:57The effect of the pandemic on offices as an asset classWFH dynamics and high vacancy rates — supply outstripping demandBifurcation in the market depending on building qualityOccupancy levels within offices — only 40-50% even for in-officeLagging factors: pre-leased offices in delayed construction finishesShort term macroeconomic concerns 16:32Outstanding loans vs lowered valuations and higher cap ratesIncreased hesitance in bank lendingChallenges for assessors 19:36Due diligence required for financial information and sales investigationsImportance of local knowledge: owners, tenants, brokers, third-party reportsNot being swayed by distressed and/or bankruptcy salesLet the actual data—not speculation—drive resultsRelevance of office portfolios to municipal tax revenuesHow to contact John 23:28Email: [email protected]

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